Dollar Target Reached, Gold Finds Support

Thursday, January 28, 2010

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The dollar's strong bounce from the December '09 lows is almost complete according to the basic technical pattern. The dollar traded within the confines of a descending channel for months leading me to consider the possibility of a bullish upside break in my December Outlook. I again highlighted that the bounce was almost complete in mid-December. And, now it has reached my initial projection of $79. Breaks of descending channels project upside moves equivalent to the width of the channel.

I did not play the bounce in the dollar but watched it for caution on my gold longs. I took profits nicely on the way up in gold and I have been waiting for the prime time to add back in for a larger move. I am looking at today's action for a possible double bottom at the $105 level in GLD.
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